The recent opinion poll conducted by the Survey Research Unit at Mada al-Carmel, the Arab Center for Applied Social Research, rendered the following results:
49.5% of the Arabs in Israel are highly concerned about the current situation in the West Bank and Gaza
45.7% of the participants believe that the Palestinians of 1948 can have a positive influence in resolving the dispute between Fatah and Hamas
59% of those surveyed believe that there is convergence of interests between America, Israel, and the Palestinian Authority in the face of Hamas
The opinion poll conducted by the Survey Research Unit looks at the views of the Arabs in Israel regarding the events in Gaza. Polls were conducted in the period between the 16th to the 19th of August, attended by 485 persons constituting a representative sample of the Arabs in Israel. The response rate was 58% and reached an error margin of 4.4% in both directions.
As mentioned, 49.5% of the Arabs in Israel are highly concerned about what is currently happening in the West Bank and Gaza, whereas 21% are moderately concerned and 10% are less concerned. That said, while 27% of the participants do not believe that the coup in Gaza was legitimate, 37.1% asserted its legitimacy. The remaining 35.9% of respondents indicated that they did not know whether the Gaza coup was legitimate or not.
When it comes to the credibility of the two disputing parties among Palestinians, 15.1% of the participants believe that the credibility of Hamas when it comes to the dissemination of facts is high. A total of 16.7% argued for medium credibility, 11.8% said Hamas’ credibility was low, and a remaining 24.3% of the participants rendered high credibility to Hamas. As for the Fatah movement, 5.8% believe that it deploys highly credible facts. A total of 16.7% believed it was credible, 20.4% believed it showed low credibility, and 22.9% replied that it did not have any credibility in the transfer of facts.
As for the motive behind what was done by Hamas in Gaza, the polls showed as follows: 65.2% of the respondents indicated that the dispute is a struggle for power, 55.8% of the participants believed it was a fight against corruption, 49.1% believed it was aimed at addressing the Israeli occupation, 46% considered that Hamas embarked on this path in Gaza to establish an Islamic state, and 36.6% believe that the events were motivated by external political forces.
Regarding the expected future as developed out of this crisis, 29.1% of those surveyed believe that the possibility of establishing a Palestinian state at the present time, after the events in Gaza, have been considerably reduced, 30.8% considered it minutely reduced, and 26% felt that the possibility remained the same.
The poll shows that 45.7% of the participants believe that the Palestinians of 1948 could have a positive impact in resolving the dispute between Fatah and Hamas, while 34.5% of the respondents disagree, arguing that the Palestinians of 1948 cannot have a positive impact in resolving this dispute.
The poll also shows that 59% of those surveyed believe that there is a convergence of interests between America, Israel, and the Palestinian Authority in the face of Hamas, while 15.5% argue that there is no convergence of their interests.
Regarding a vision of the resolution of this conflict, over 41.3% of the participants believe that the Fatah movement and the Palestinian presidency ought to engage in a dialogue with Hamas without any preconditions, while 24.2% felt the opposite.
Another question dealing with the international conference held in recent months showed that 50.1% of the participants believe that the American administration is not serious in its efforts to reach a final solution to the Palestinian issue, 24% argued that it is serious in its efforts, and 25.9% responded that they did not know.